The 22 January 2005 Australian edition of New Scientist, No2483, pp 48-49 carries an article " The Slide Rule Orchestra" about the work of British meteorologist Lewis Fry Richardson 1881-1953. Before WW I he envisaged a large room crowded with 'calculators', each armed with a slide rule and adding machine, and each working on differential equations for weather data in separate map grid cells. His idea was to develop equations which could predict the weather. As a Quaker, he volunteered for ambulance duty in WWI, and worked on his equations when off duty. But the manuscript was lost during a battle. After the war he repeated the work and published it in 1922 as "Weather Prediction by the Numerical Process", which was seminal enough to warrant a reprint in 1965.
He had returned to his job with the UK Meteorological Office, but when a government shuffle placed it under the control of the Air Ministry, his pacifist feelings led him to resign. This was a major loss to meteorology.
Thereafter, until his death he applied his statistical abilities to study the causes and prevention of war. He published "Mathematical Psychology of War" in 1919, and gained a degree in Psychology in 1929. A major major work was published posthumously as "Statistics of Deadly Quarrels", edited by Quincy Wright and C. C. Lienau (1960, The Boxwood Press, Pittsburgh; Quadrangle Books, Chicago; and Stevens & Sons, London).
Richardson estimated that it would need 64,000 'calculators' for his 'orchestra' to predict the global weather, although others estimated at least 204,800 would be needed to just keep up with incoming data.
Cyril Catt
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